Is India The New China For Toy Manufacturing?
There has been considerable speculation and commentary of late about the rise of India as a toy manufacturing force, and about the reduction in factory output in China. This article looks at the realities of Indian toy manufacturing and the challenges for the toy industry in looking anywhere but China.
Most of the world’s toy production emanates from China. Estimates I have seen vary between 70-85% of the global total. The reality behind the hype is that you can’t find that amount of capacity in a hurry elsewhere, nor can you expect to find the same established levels of knowledge, technical expertise and human capital in terms of toy design, engineering and manufacturing. So therefore, in my view, China will remain the dominant force in toy manufacturing for years to come. China’s domestic toy consumption serviced mainly via toys produced in market seems set to rise for decades (especially with the removal of the one child policy which is likely to lead to higher birth rates/more toy consumers), which is another factor suggesting China is going to be a very major player in toy production for the foreseeable future.
However, not everything is ‘rosy’ for China’s toy manufacturing prospects. When China first began to develop into the global production hub it is today, labour rates were significantly lower versus other Asian countries and Western countries than they are today. That’s really important, because despite automation and advanced machinery, toys can be very labour intensive in terms of running along traditional manned assembly lines. It’s not unusual for a toy to have a dozen people or more working on a production line, so clearly the cost of that labour is going to be a driving factor in terms of ex-factory costings.
Moreover, traditionally the major toy markets of North America & Europe had to accept the cashflow impact & extended stock risk of having product on the water for around a month from Chinese ports. So when the cost advantage decreases, so the shipping time and also shipping cost appear to be more negative factors versus production closer to home.
Therefore, bearing in mind these factors, it is not surprising that the toy industry is looking elsewhere for alternative production sources. There are several reasons why India is particularly interesting: Firstly, size of population is a factor. Whereas some other Asian countries will never reach a fraction of China’s potential workforce or scale of manufacturing, India with its population of somewhere around 1.4 billion people easily offers the promise of large scale workforce and capacity over time. Secondly, India is already a leading regional hub of engineering and manufacturing excellence in other categories, most notably the automotive industry. Thirdly, English language is prevalent, which is important for at least English speaking markets covering c. 1/3 of the world’s toy sales. Additionally, the shipping time/cost to the European toy market is significantly less.
When you look at all of these factors alongside the fact that labour costs in India are half as much as China or less, and with significantly less ongoing inflationary pressure we can begin to see why toy manufacturing can be a motivating interest.
In practical terms, this year, my company has been approached by 4 or 5 toy companies looking for new manufacturers outside China. This has led me to India to visit really high end toy factories which I did not previously realise existed in India. Aside from the wonderment of visiting such a vibrant and seemingly chaotic country, the sheer quality/sophistication of approach, the engineering know how and the very high end working environments were very pleasantly surprising!
One leading factory owner in India explained this to me by way of comparing the toy industry to the automotive industry – in cars there are literally thousands of component parts, some of great engineering complexity, and with a requirement for meeting even greater safety standards than the toy industry. When a team of people has worked extensively on such complicated engineering projects, a plastic toy made up of a handful of moulded plastic pieces with the occasional light, sensor or electrical circuit is really not very challenging at all in terms of engineering and manufacturing processes.
I came back with India certain in the knowledge that India is definitely going to grow and grow as a toy manufacturing centre. The challenge for now though is that there are a limited number of high end factories with the right audits/certification and high end quality processes…and therefore there is comparatively limited capacity in situ at the time of writing. While it’s clear that factories in India are generally planning for major growth in the next 5 years, and therefore capacity is set to grow exponentially, there is still nowhere enough capacity to fulfil a statistically significant amount of toy manufacturing versus China.
In 5-10 years time, this situation may have changed, but for now, those who want to take advantage of significant cost reductions/margin Improvement and quicker shipping times to Europe will have to take active steps to seek capacity/production while they can.
So India is not yet ready to be the ‘new China for toy manufacturing’, but nevertheless it is certainly set to grow in importance over the next years, and for now offers a definite cost saving opportunity for those forward thinking enough to embrace the opportunity and assertive enough to carve out dedicated capacity!
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